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Social Unrest and the timing of revolution

Abstract : We study here whether a social movement can turn into a successful revolution, and the optimal timing for a revolution from the deprived workers perspective. To do so, the dynamics of social unrest is defined as a function of the amount of deprived workers, their organizational skills, wage inequalities, and retaliation. Then, taking the evolution of social unrest into account, we obtain the optimal time for a revolution. If unrest increases with time, then a revolution always arises independently of the initial state and the characteristics of the economy. Furthermore, whenever the gains are high enough, then a revolution arises immediately. Worth to note, even if social unrest decreases with time, a revolution arises if the initial mass of discontent is sizeable or retaliation hard.
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Preprints, Working Papers, ...
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https://halshs.archives-ouvertes.fr/halshs-03372991
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Submitted on : Monday, October 11, 2021 - 11:35:56 AM
Last modification on : Friday, October 15, 2021 - 1:41:45 PM

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  • HAL Id : halshs-03372991, version 1

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Carmen Camacho, Waleed Hassan. Social Unrest and the timing of revolution. 2021. ⟨halshs-03372991⟩

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